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By The Fundamental Analyst, on April 30th, 2008
Actually last months ADP report also suggested slight growth in payrolls, however non-farm payrolls reported by the BLS were down 80k. From adpemploymentreport.com
Nonfarm private employment increased 10,000 from March to April 2008 on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to the ADP National Employment Report™. The estimated change in employment from February to March [...]
By The Fundamental Analyst, on April 30th, 2008
The XAO broke its five month losing streak in April notching up a 4.6% gain from the previous month and breaking my winning streak of calls on the direction of the Aussie market. So what about the old adage, ‘go away in May?’ As can be seen below, that is largely a myth when [...]
By The Fundamental Analyst, on April 30th, 2008
Morgan Stanley seem to be waking up to the fact that the era of outsize profits for banks is over for the forseeable future, slashing their profit forecasts for bank earnings for FY08 and FY09. From Yahoo Finance:
Morgan Stanley see big bank woes just beginning
Morgan Stanley (MS) analysts on Monday told [...]
By The Fundamental Analyst, on April 29th, 2008
The latest Case-Shiller Home Price numbers show that US Home Prices continue to fall at an accelerated rate. From S&P:
Steep Declines in Home Prices Continued in February 2008 According to the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indicies
Data through February 2008, released today by Standard & Poor’s for its S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, the leading [...]
By The Fundamental Analyst, on April 29th, 2008
As stated ad-nauseum here analysts are typically behind the curve at turning points in the earnings cycle. The graph above certainly bears that out. 6 months ago 1Q08 S&P500 operating earnings were projected to show a 9.1% increase. As late as the end of February, operating earnings were still projected to be marginally positve [...]
By The Fundamental Analyst, on April 28th, 2008
Pipe Networks (PWK) announced today that they raised $26m via a private placement of 6.5m shares at $4.00 per share. The purpose for the capital raising was to complete the funding for PPC-1, (the Guam to Sydney undersea cable) and for additional working capital purposes.
The company had flagged in the half year report [...]
By The Fundamental Analyst, on April 24th, 2008
Yesterday ANZ reported a -14% decline in cash earnings (cash earnings is what you need to pay attention to) and a -16% decline in cash eps for 1H08. A lot of that had to with the sharp increase in loan loss reserves which was flagged to the market back in February.
At that time [...]
By The Fundamental Analyst, on April 23rd, 2008
Last November Starbucks began talking about cost pressures due to the rising price of milk and also sluggish traffic in their stores. Those headwinds are now affecting the bottom line. From marketwatch.com:
Starbucks issues profit forecast below expectations
Starbucks Corp. warned late Wednesday that fiscal second-quarter and full-year profit will be hurt by decreased [...]
By The Fundamental Analyst, on April 23rd, 2008
AMBAC again demonstrated why its AAA rating is a farce after losing more than a billion and a half in the first quarter of 2008. From marketwatch.com
Ambac reports quarterly net loss of $1.66 billion
Ambac Financial reported a first-quarter net loss of $1.66 billion on Wednesday as the bond insurer continued to struggle [...]
By The Fundamental Analyst, on April 23rd, 2008
Much has been made by Dow theorists about the bullish confirmation of the dow transport index and the dow industrials in recent weeks. However, the outlook for major transportation companies continues to look weak. Back in September of last year both Federal Express and Knight Transportation issued profit warnings. Now it’s UPS turn, from [...]
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